Ala Hann Sport picks

Archive for December, 2009

Expect many a sportsbook to work overtime this weekend. We have the NBA, NHL, UFC 107, Army Navy picks and, of course the NFL on the schedule. Here are some picks to consider for Week 14.

Denver Broncos @ Indianapolis Colts (-7)

Sunday, December 13, 1:00 p.m. ET

Every week we ask ourselves, “Is this the Colts’ biggest challenge yet?” It’s hard to say where Denver ranks among Indy’s opponents this season but we do know that the Broncos have the highest-ranked pass defense – No. 2 in the league – of any team Peyton Manning has battled this year. That said, the Colts are at home and do a fantastic job protecting Manning. He’s been sacked just 10 times in 12 games. Denver will make him work but Manning shows every week that no defense or front seven scares him.

Also, the Colts “D” isn’t perfect but it forces turnovers, especially at home. The Colts have the sixth-most interceptions in the league and are master ball-strippers. That doesn’t bode well for a mistake-prone quarterback like Kyle Orton, who lost two fumbles last week against Kansas City.

Sports betting pick: Colts -7

Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) @ San Francisco 49ers

Monday, December 14, 8:35 p.m. ET

Don’t be surprised if this is the most exciting game of the week. Perhaps pushing to get his team back to Super Bowl betting, Kurt Warner is on fire, with 12 touchdown passes and no interceptions over his last four games. Since the Cards don’t run the ball well and since San Francisco ranks 27^th against the pass, Warner should air it out to Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald all night along.

However, Arizona’s pass defense is even worse, ranking 30^th. Alex Smith and the 49ers have found themselves offensively in recent weeks via the shotgun offense; they should move the ball well too. We’ll see a shootout but the Cardinals are the better scorers and they really showed something with their tackling against a potent Vikings offense last week. Go with the Cardinals to cover. After all, they’re 5-1 on the road this season.

Sports betting pick: Cardinals

New York Rangers/Chicago Blackhawks (Under 5.5) goals at (  1.833)
Atlanta Thrashers/Calgary Flames (Under 6) goals at (  1.870)

Statistic:
160/277 57%

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CLE Cavaliers v HOU Rockets -3/+3 CLE Cavaliers to win at 1.91
POR Trailblazers v IND Pacers over 193 points at 1.91

Statistic: 133/256 52%

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New Jersey Nets at Chicago Bulls  Chicago Bulls -6,5  to win at    1.91
Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Over 216,5 points at 1.91

Statistic: 133/254 52%

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Pittsburgh have to be one of the big sports betting disappointments of the year, as the defending Super Bowl champions are in real danger of missing the playoffs thanks to a four-game losing skid. The Steelers will head to Cleveland on Thursday night to face the lowly Browns, and a loss would essentially end Pittsburgh’s season.

Steelers vs Browns odds – Thursday, December 10, 8:20 PM ET

The Steelers (6-6) fell apart on defense against Oakland in a 27-24 win at home, allowing 21 points in the fourth quarter, which highlights how much they miss Troy Polamalu in the secondary. The Steelers allowed Bruce Gradkowski to throw for 308 yards and three touchdowns, all three of which came in the final 15 minutes. Ben Roethlisberger returned from his concussion to pass for 278 yards, two touchdowns and a pick on 18-of-24 passing, and the Steelers still managed to run for 132 yards, but the collapse on defense dealt a blow to their NFL odds in your sportsbook.

The Browns (1-11) came up short in a 30-23 loss to San Diego at home, as they trailed by 20 points heading into the fourth quarter. Brady Quinn had another solid outing, going 25-of-45 for 271 yards and three touchdowns, and he’s now avoided an interception in four of his last five games. However, the Cleveland defense gave up 477 yards of offense, including 386 yards through the air.

NFL odds in your sportsbook have the Steelers as a 10-point favorite in this contest, and they’ve won 12 straight against the Browns, and nine of their last 10 in Cleveland. Their first meeting ended in a 27-14 win for Pittsburgh at home, and both teams had four turnovers in a sloppy game. Roethlisberger lit up the Browns for 417 yards, and he’ll be looking to do the same against a terrible Cleveland defense. Quinn didn’t play in the first game, and he’ll be out to attack the Pittsburgh secondary, who misses their leader badly. They’ll put up some points against the Steelers, but their inability to stop anyone will lead them to another sportsbook loss.

NFL picks: Steelers -14

WAS Capitals v TB Lightning   WAS Capitals to win at 1.70
NJ Devils v BUF Sabres under 5.5 goals at 1.65

Statistic:
158/275 57%

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Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5) vs Milwaukee Bucks  Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5) to win at (  1.909)
Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons (-3) Detroit Pistons (-3) to win at (  1.909)

Statistic: 131/252 52%

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Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators  Nashville Predators to win at 1.61
Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Under 6 goals at 1.70

Statistic:
157/273 57%

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ORL Magic v GS Warriors -9/+9 ORL Magic to win at 1.91
ATL Hawks v DAL Mavericks +5/-5 DAL Mavericks to win at 1.91

Statistic: 131/250 52%

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MIA Heat v LA Lakers over 198.5 points at 1.91
IND Pacers v UTA Jazz +7.5/-7.5 UTA Jazz to win at 1.91

Statistic: 129/248 52%

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